Showing posts with label Emerging Market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Emerging Market. Show all posts

University pension fund pushing into emerging markets

By Cecilia Valente
LONDON | Wed Jan 26, 2011 7:14am EST
LONDON (Reuters) - Britain's second-largest pension fund is putting
more money into emerging markets and hedge funds, as it moves to
dilute exposure to stocks that left it reeling in the financial
crisis, its chief investor said.

The 31.6 billion pound Universities Superannuation Scheme USS.L is
pouring an extra 320 million pounds into emerging market equities,
while paring allocations to global equities from 62 percent to as low
as 55 percent, Chief Investment Officer Roger Gray told Reuters.
Exposure to emerging markets will rise to 7.5 percent from 6.5
percent and is likely to rise further still, he said.

"I would not say 7.5 percent (in emerging markets) is the ultimate
goal, but it is as far as we have set it at the moment. We should set
that against the context where our overall equity exposure is
reducing," Gray said.

The realignment marks a significant departure from the traditional
strategies pursued by the fund, which is second only to the BT (BT.L)
pension scheme in size.

Before Gray took the job in late 2009, the USS allocated about 70
percent of assets to global equities but lost about 7 billion pounds
in the stock market slump following the credit crisis. Emerging
market exposure was only around 5 percent of the fund.

HEDGE FUNDS
As it moves away from equities, the scheme will also invest at least
1.5 percent or close to 500 million pounds in hedge funds, aspiring
to a longer-term target of 5 percent. The fund may even go a bit
further than that, Gray said.

So-called alternative investments such as hedge funds fell from
favour after the financial crisis as some proved illiquid, exposing
investors to steep losses. In extreme cases such as the Bernard
Madoff scandal the funds turned out to be frauds.

Gray said the USS's extra commitment to hedge funds is backed by
closer scrutiny of their corporate governance practices.
"The area where over the last few years we have evolved is applying
that (corporate governance scrutiny) to the full range of our
investments, including hedge funds, he said.

"Is the board of the hedge fund constituted in a way which gives us
assurance that they are actually acting in the interest of the
limited partners rather than in the pocket of the managers?" he said.
An increase in the scheme's strategic allocation to fixed income,
which is also part of the diversification plan, has been "progressing
slowly" towards its target of 15 percent.

Having reached 12.5 percent, Gray said it was "only a question of
timing when the next move takes place ... It will be incremental
steps, rather than dramatic steps." (Editing by Chris Vellacott and
David Holmes)
Source: Reuters.Com
READ MORE - University pension fund pushing into emerging markets

Buy Emerging-Markets ETFs, iShares Says

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Economies of emerging and developed countries
will further diverge in 2011, says Russ Koesterich, iShares chief
global investment strategist. The best way to take advantage of that
so-called economic decoupling is to purchase single-country ETFs in
the fastest-growing emerging economies.
TheStreet_ spoke with Koesterich about his forecasts for the New
Year.


What is your economic outlook for 2011?

*Koesterich:* For next year, we are going to be looking at what I call
an economic decoupling. The developed world will continue to grow,
albeit at a slow pace. Emerging markets, however, will grow much
faster, particularly in places like India and Brazil.


How do you play this economic decoupling with exchange traded
funds?

*Koesterich:* The good news for 2011 is that it's going to be a good
environment for equities. Even though growth is going to be slow, it
will be fast enough to help earnings. You have low inflation and low
interest rates. So investors want to do a couple things. First, they
should leverage themselves to emerging-market growth. That means an
overweight to sectors like industrials and technology. Also, they
should use single-country ETFs to get exposure to those faster-growing
markets.


You say in your latest note that there's a 25% chance of a double-dip
recession. What should an investor do under that scenario?

*Koesterich:* If the developed world falls back into recession, you
want to get much more defensive. I happen to think that *U.S.
Treasuries* look very expensive right now. But under that scenario, I
want to overweight longer-duration bonds by buying, for example, the
*iShares Barclays Aggregate Bond ETF*(AGG). I want to overweight the
dollar, because I want that safe-haven bid. And within my equity
portfolio, I want stocks and sectors that have pricing power in a weak
environment. Traditionally that has meant consumer staples and health
care.


In your latest note you also say there's a 10% chance of an
inflationary scenario. What do you buy if that comes to fruition?

*Koesterich:* The inflation portfolio looks very different. In the
first year or two when inflation is picking up, you want to
underweight equities because you tend to get multiple contraction.
Obviously, you want to underweight bonds, with the exception of TIPS.
I would buy the *iShares Barclays TIPS ETF*(TIP) in this scenario. And
then take a larger position in commodities. Within commodities,
precious metals, particularly gold have historically performed the
best.


Finally, you say there's a 10% chance of a Goldilocks scenario with
low inflation and strong growth. What do you do in that environment --
just load up on stocks?

*Koesterich:* Exactly. We would love to get back to the wonder years
of the late 1990s, but I don't think it's likely. If it were to
happen, then equities would do best. So we would advise a heavy
position in equities, especially riskier stocks and those stocks that
do well when the economy is strong, like the cyclicals. Source:
Thestreet.com
READ MORE - Buy Emerging-Markets ETFs, iShares Says

Boyer Allan transforms Japan Fund into emerging markets vehicle

Boyer Allan Investment Management (BAIM) has officially converted the
Boyer Allan Japan Fund into an emerging markets vehicle, called Boyer
Allan Global Emerging Markets Fund.
The decision was finalised on January 7, 2011 following the fund's
lacklustre performance in 2010.

The Boyer Allan Japan Fund lost 5% in 2010 after posting gains of
5.46% in 2008 and 4.2% in 2009. This, coupled with increasing demand
from US investors for an emerging markets product, triggered the
change.

This is not the first hedge fund group to close its Japanese fund in
recent years. Odey Asset Management shut down its flagship Japanese
fund in 2008 and Thames River Capital followed suit in 2009.
The Japan fund was run by Andrew Callender and Nick Tanner from 2008
until October 2010, when Tanner left Boyer Allan.

Steven Woolfe, general legal counsel for BAIM, explained "Callender
wanted to take the challenge on and Tanner still thought that there
were legs in Japan so he decided to look at opportunities elsewhere
and continue in that area."

The legal and corporate entities will remain the same and Callender
will continue to manage the fund.
Woolfe explains that BAIM no longer saw the fund's Japan focus as
feasible. "For investors, it's going to be very difficult to justify
getting returns in Japan with the way that the economy has run in the
past few years," he said.

"Over the past couple of years, the economic environment in Japan has
been quite moribund. The government itself had its own issues in
trying to resolve and excite the environment in Japan," he commented.
"It was felt by the Japan team that on a longer-term basis the returns
that could be obtained by going in to other emerging markets would be
a greater advantage to those investors that remained within the fund,"
he added.

According to Woolfe, Callender has previous experience of working with
emerging markets and can capitalise on the expertise provided by
BAIM's newly acquired emerging markets team from Zebedee Capital in
May 2010.

BAIM is hoping the new Boyer Allan Global Emerging Markets Fund will
generate the same level of returns as the other principal funds
managed by the Boyer Allan Group.

To date the Boyer Allan Emerging Markets (EMEA) Fund at its year-end
return for 2010 was 11% and it has returned 4.3% annually over the
past three years.

Its flagship long/short equity fund Boyer Allan Pacific Partners Fund
has returned an average of 18.7% since inception 12 years ago, "nearly
three times the market return with similar volatility", Woolfe pointed
out.

The long/short equity fund excluding Japan, Boyer Allan Pacific
Opportunities Fund, has returned an average of 30.7% over the past
four years, "six times the market return with lower volatility", while
the long/short equity fund Boyer Allan Greater China Fund has returned
18.2% over the last four years.

According to the Irish Stock Exchange announcement, BAIM "considers
the fund's current assets under management (AUM) of $18.1 million as
of August 31, 2010 and the uncertain outlook for the Japanese stock
market do not establish a positive commercial future for a fund
investing solely in the Japanese markets under the current investment
objective."

Boyer Allan is a global fund management company with an estimated
total AUM of $800 million. It runs a total of nine funds, ranging from
long/short equity to Ucits and long-only funds.
Source: HedgeFundsReview.Com
READ MORE - Boyer Allan transforms Japan Fund into emerging markets vehicle

EMERGING MARKETS-Latam stocks dip on thin volume, Brazil options

Mon Jan 17, 2011 10:50am EST
* Stock options set to expire in Sao Paulo
* Holiday keeps U.S. financial markets closed
* Brazil's Bovespa down 0.29 pct, Mexico's IPC up 0.22 pct
By Luciana Lopez

SAO PAULO, Jan 17 (Reuters) - Latin American stocks dipped
in early trading on Monday as a U.S. holiday kept markets
abroad closed and the expiration of Brazilian stock options
dragged.

The MSCI Latin American stocks index .MILA00000PUS
slipped 0.15 percent, for what could be a third straight
session of losses.

With U.S. stock markets closed for the Martin Luther King,
Jr holiday, "we're somewhat without a reference point," said
Raphael Martello, an economist at Tendencias Consultoria in Sao
Paulo.

"There's some movement because stock options are expiring,"
he added.
The expiration of stock options in Sao Paulo typically
boosts the volume of some heavyweight stocks in Brazil.
In addition, European leaders were slated to meet to
discuss an increase in the effective lending capacity of the
euro zone rescue fund.

The euro zone debt crisis has rattled markets over the past
year, with investors shedding riskier assets such as emerging
market equities.

Successful discussions on a bailout fund could "improve the
perception that they're looking at the resources they can make
available," said Raffi Dokuzian of Banif brokerage in Sao
Paulo.

"It's an important signal that Europe is taking strong
measures so that countries with momentary difficulties won't
have credit problems," he said.
Brazil's benchmark Bovespa stock index .BVSP fell 0.29
percent, giving up gains from Friday.
Banks fell -- Itau Unibanco (ITUB4.SA) was down 1.19
percent, Banco do Brasil (BBAS3.SA), Latin America's largest
bank by assets, declined 1.38 percent and Bradesco (BBDC4.SA)
gave up 1.11 percent.
Liming losses, preferred shares of mining company Vale
(VALE5.SA) gained 0.63 percent, as the company's common stock
(VALE3.SA) moved up 0.45 percent. Shares of state-controlled
energy company Petrobras (PETR4.SA) rose 0.29 percent.
Source: Reuters.Com
READ MORE - EMERGING MARKETS-Latam stocks dip on thin volume, Brazil options

How To Play The Emerging Markets Trend In 2011 (SPY, EEM, FXI, EWZ))

This surge in the market capitalization of emerging countries' stock
markets also reflects a sense by investors that those areas represent
better investment opportunities compared to Western or industrialized
nations. Expectations on currency and interest rate moves also have a
large effect. Westerners have begun to realize the unexplored
potential that has arisen in South America, Asia and other parts of
the world. As investors tend to move away from home bias in light of
the immense growth opportunities around the world, an internationally
balanced portfolio is emerging as a new means of diversification.

Although some countries made huge moves up in terms of their market
caps, their absolute percentage relative to larger nations such as the
U.S. remains relatively small. The United States retained its lead
as the largest stock market in the world by market capitalization
slipping to 29.70%, despite the market rally.

Japan makes up 7.97% of the world total, but it has dropped over the
past five years from its high of 10.34%. Although Japan remains a
fairly safe investment option, other Asian markets have been able to
attract some of this lost market share. The same can be said for
America.

The Brazilian stock market increased its global share and now makes
up 2.84% of the current global market capitalization.
China also saw a large move during 2010 by surpassing Japan as the
world's second largest economy. The Chinese equity market now makes up
6.89% of the world total. In fact, China now has the third-largest
stock market after the U.S. and Japan, and is challenging Japan for
second place. India was another strong contender, and saw its share
move up to 3.22%.

*Emerging Market ETFs*
Investors who want to play the emerging markets trend in 2011 can
invest in various exchange-traded funds (ETF) that reflect the main
indexes of various foreign stock markets.

The *iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index* (NYSE:EEM) tracks emerging
stock markets in general and can be used to invest in a broad range of
countries with large weightings toward Brazil and China, particularly
in financial sectors.

The *iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index* (NYSE:FXI) invests most if
its assets in the 25 largest company stocks in China.

The *iShares MSCI Brazil Index* (NYSE:EWZ) invests in large cap
Brazilian stocks. Having an overweight position in Petrobras and
Petroleo Brasilerio, EWZ has a primary focus on energy and industrial
materials sectors.

Investors who want to stick with, or at least hold a portion
of stocks listed on U.S. markets can buy into the *S&P 500*
(NYSE:SPY).

Changes in market capitalization seem to reflect the higher and
resilient growth of emerging economies, and there are many ETFs around
to invest in that trend. Investors should understand, however, that
many factors influence this shift besides economic growth. (For a
more comprehensive analysis of international investing, check out
_Does International Investing Really Offer Diversification?_,
_Investing In China_ and _Evaluating Country Risk For International
Investing_.)

Use the Investopedia Stock Simulator to trade the stocks mentioned in
this stock analysis, *risk free!*
Source: Investopedia.Com
READ MORE - How To Play The Emerging Markets Trend In 2011 (SPY, EEM, FXI, EWZ))

Top Emerging-Market Small-Cap Funds

NEW YORK (TheStreet) --- Investors have been pouring into emerging
markets, and emerging-market small-caps have been particularly hot.
During the past year, the MSCI Emerging Markets small-cap index has
returned 26.3%, compared with 14.4% for the *S&P 500*.

Some emerging-markets mutual funds have done better than the
benchmarks. *Wasatch Emerging Markets Small Cap*(WAEMX) returned
41.2%, while *DFA Emerging Markets Small Cap*(DEMSX) returned 30.7%.

Have small-caps become too rich? Maybe not. Small-caps sell with a
price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3, compared with 14 for emerging-market
large-caps, says Laura Geritz, portfolio manager of Wasatch Emerging
Markets Small Cap. The S&P 500 has a P/E of 15.5.


The valuations in the emerging markets are especially intriguing
because in the U.S. small-caps are more expensive than their large-cap
brethren.


Why are emerging-market small-cap stocks so cheap? The emerging
markets are still immature in some ways, says Geritz. Not many
analysts follow small-caps yet. And when U.S. money managers shop in
the emerging markets, they tend to stick with the best-known
blue-chips.


Besides being relatively cheap, the small stocks also offer some of
the most compelling growth prospects in the emerging markets, says
Geritz. She says that the small-cap index is full of the kind of
retail and service businesses that are benefiting from the booming
growth of consumer spending. In contrast, the MSCI Emerging Markets
large-cap benchmark emphasizes banks and energy companies, which are
growing at slower rates.


To try small-caps, consider Wasatch Emerging Markets Small Cap, which
returned 9.7% annually during the past three years, soaring past the
average emerging-markets fund, which lost 2.3%. Wasatch seeks
companies that can grow steadily for the next three to five years.
Typical holdings have secure niches, solid balance sheets and very
high returns on equity. "We want companies that can survive and grow
during periods when the economy turns down," says Geritz.


To limit risk, the fund seeks stocks with P/E multiples that are lower
than the growth rates. Based on next year's earnings, the portfolio
currently has a P/E ratio of 13, a moderate price for companies that
should grow at annual rates of more than 20%.
Source: Thestreet.com
READ MORE - Top Emerging-Market Small-Cap Funds

Buy Emerging-Markets ETFs, iShares Says

NEW YORK (TheStreet) --- Economies of emerging and developed countries
will further diverge in 2011, says Russ Koesterich, iShares chief
global investment strategist. The best way to take advantage of that
so-called economic decoupling is to purchase single-country ETFs in
the fastest-growing emerging economies.
_TheStreet_ spoke with Koesterich about his forecasts for the New
Year.

_What is your economic outlook for 2011?_


*Koesterich:* For next year, we are going to be looking at what I call
an economic decoupling. The developed world will continue to grow,
albeit at a slow pace. Emerging markets, however, will grow much
faster, particularly in places like India and Brazil.

_How do you play this economic decoupling with exchange traded
funds?_


*Koesterich:* The good news for 2011 is that it's going to be a good
environment for equities. Even though growth is going to be slow, it
will be fast enough to help earnings. You have low inflation and low
interest rates. So investors want to do a couple things. First, they
should leverage themselves to emerging-market growth. That means an
overweight to sectors like industrials and technology. Also, they
should use single-country ETFs to get exposure to those faster-growing
markets.


You say in your latest note that there's a 25% chance of a double-dip
recession. What should an investor do under that scenario?_


*Koesterich:* If the developed world falls back into recession, you
want to get much more defensive. I happen to think that *U.S.
Treasuries* look very expensive right now. But under that scenario, I
want to overweight longer-duration bonds by buying, for example, the
*iShares Barclays Aggregate Bond ETF*(AGG). I want to overweight the
dollar, because I want that safe-haven bid. And within my equity
portfolio, I want stocks and sectors that have pricing power in a weak
environment. Traditionally that has meant consumer staples and health
care.


In your latest note you also say there's a 10% chance of an
inflationary scenario. What do you buy if that comes to fruition?_


*Koesterich:* The inflation portfolio looks very different. In the
first year or two when inflation is picking up, you want to
underweight equities because you tend to get multiple contraction.
Obviously, you want to underweight bonds, with the exception of TIPS.
I would buy the *iShares Barclays TIPS ETF*(TIP) in this scenario. And
then take a larger position in commodities. Within commodities,
precious metals, particularly gold have historically performed the
best.


Finally, you say there's a 10% chance of a Goldilocks scenario with
low inflation and strong growth. What do you do in that environment
--- just load up on stocks?_


*Koesterich:* Exactly. We would love to get back to the wonder years
of the late 1990s, but I don't think it's likely. If it were to
happen, then equities would do best. So we would advise a heavy
position in equities, especially riskier stocks and those stocks that
do well when the economy is strong, like the cyclicals.
Source: Thestreet.com
READ MORE - Buy Emerging-Markets ETFs, iShares Says