Showing posts with label BOA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label BOA. Show all posts

Is Kemp v. Countrywide The Case That Will Bring Down Bank Of America (And RMBS)?

Two weeks ago, the New York Times's Gretchen Morgensen wrote an article in which she touched upon the curious case of Kemp vs. Countrywide Home Loans in which Countrywide held on to the original mortgage note and related docs "even though the pooling and servicing agreement governing the mortgage pool that supposedly held the note required that it be delivered to the trustee, the court document shows" thereby impairing the integrity and validity of all downstream securities. Prior to this (and since) we have seen many more cases in which there was outright court fraud in some capacity, either w/r/t the PSA or the already well known issue of robosigning. It is no surprise that after making a splash, this topic has disappeared from the mainstream media, as banks are doing all they can to "silence" the debate, whose implications could be terminal for the US leveraged housing paradigm, which has existed since the advent of the GSEs. Yet, surprisingly, in today's Weekly Credit Outlook, Moody's brings new attention to this particular case, and adds some language that if one were the CEO of Bank of America, one would be very, very nervous, more so than even how damaging the revelations from the Wikileaks disclosure on BofA may end up being. To wit: "We believe the case will lead to increased litigation, higher servicing costs, and more foreclosure delays. This will pressure BofA’s earnings. Increased foreclosure timelines and costs associated with potentially defective loans will also increase losses for Countrywide-sponsored RMBS. This is negative for both BofA and Countrywide-sponsored RMBS." Did Moody's (always horrendous at timing its entrance and exit) just pee in the proverbial RMBS pool?
Full note from Moody's David Fanger:
New Jersey Court Decision May Be Unique, but Still Bad for BofA and RMBS
On 16 November, a bankruptcy court in New Jersey dismissed Bank of America’s (BofA, Aa3 negative, C-/Baa2 stable) claim for standing to enforce a mortgage originated and securitized by Countrywide in 2006. The judge concluded Countrywide had failed to properly endorse and transfer possession of the mortgage note to the securitization’s trustee, leaving it unenforceable under New Jersey law. Last week BofA was reported in the press as saying that the facts upon which the judge based her conclusion may not have been correct.
We believe the case will lead to increased litigation, higher servicing costs, and more foreclosure delays. This will pressure BofA’s earnings. Increased foreclosure timelines and costs associated with potentially defective loans will also increase losses for Countrywide-sponsored RMBS. This is negative for both BofA and Countrywide-sponsored RMBS.

Kemp v. Countrywide Home Loans, Inc. involves a May 2008 Chapter 13 bankruptcy filing where BofA/Countrywide, as mortgage servicer, filed a proof of claim on behalf of a securitization trust. Testimony by a BofA mortgage servicing employee and statements by BofA’s local attorney indicated that the mortgage note was never properly delivered, with endorsements, to the securitization trustee as required by the pooling and servicing agreement (a requirement typical of most securitizations). However, the employee also said she had never worked in originations (the area responsible for delivering the note), nor was she comfortable testifying on the extent to which the mortgage documents were moved. No additional information was provided to the court regarding the note’s chain of possession.

The Kemp case raises questions about whether, by failing to comply with the pooling and servicing agreement, BofA/Countrywide would be required to repurchase the mortgage from the trust. After the case was reported in the press, BofA highlighted that the employee’s testimony had been outside her area of expertise, and stated that “Countrywide’s policy and practice has been, and remains to fully comply with the pooling and servicing agreements, including forwarding any necessary documents to the trustee.”

In light of BofA’s statements, it appears the case was concluded without all of the relevant facts. We don’t believe Countrywide as a matter of standard practice failed to deliver mortgage notes to the trustee, and we don’t expect the Kemp case to set a wide precedent for bankruptcy and foreclosure cases involving Countrywide mortgages. However, we still don’t know to what extent their documentation and transfer process was defective. Any such defects will increase foreclosure timelines and costs and in some cases may preclude the servicer from enforcing the mortgage altogether. We also believe the case will encourage other mortgage borrowers as well as investors in Countrywide securitizations to challenge BofA. We expect this will increase servicing and litigation costs for BofA, and could reveal defects in BofA’s mortgage servicing processes, exposing the bank to further unfavorable legal decisions.

The case is also negative for RMBS in general. It shows that where sponsors failed to deliver and endorse the mortgage notes in accordance with the transaction documents, servicers may not be able to foreclose or enforce bankruptcy proofs of claim when challenged by borrowers. The extent to which sponsors failed to adhere to the requirements in the transaction documents is unclear. The current Attorneys General investigations could shed light on this, although it is unclear whether their scope will include document transfer issues.

Operational flaws in supervising and lawyering foreclosures and bankruptcies also pose an issue for BofA and other servicers. The Kemp case reveals that the servicer’s employees and lawyers may be unaware of the complexity and requirements of the securitization process. This kind of disconnect between the servicing and the securitizing subject RMBS to additional delays, costs and losses – and is probably not confined to BofA.
www.zerohedge.com
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Following Wikileaks Revelations, The Tricky Dick Rushes To The Rescue, Sees Bank of America Worth $21 In Bankruptcy

This is certifiably one of those days when the insanity refuses to end. The latest laugh out loud episode come from the lunatic who has outstayed his "analytic" welcome by about 2 years following his Buy recommendation on a soon to be bankrupt Lehman Brothers (sorry Dick, nobody will ever let it go): The Rochdale analyst, continues to reprise the role of the evil grandpa-in-law who just. refuses. to. leave. even though it is about 12 hours past his credibility-time, now sees Bank of America as worth $21 in bankruptcy. You really can't make this shit up. To wit: from a very funny Dick: "In death, this company would be worth 91% more than it is worth in life." You may laugh now.
From Tricky Dick Bove: Bank of America (BAC) - Let’s Get Real
  • It has been reported that Wikileaks has obtained the hard drive of a Bank of America executive. This hard drive is believed to have 5 gigabytes of data on it. Consequently, it may take until the beginning of next year for Wikileaks to sort out the information and select what it wants to reveal. The organization is striving to make the biggest impact by touching upon data that is relevant in today’s marketplace.
  • It is further believed that this may narrow the data down to either the Merrill Lynch acquisition or Countrywide’s lending policies. It may be that the executive indicated that Bank of America was fully aware of all the write-offs and bonuses at Merrill well before this information was made available to shareholders.
  • Or, the data may deal with Countrywide’s underwriting policies and some type of collusion between the bank and Countrywide related to the issuance of securities. Possibly, the “friends of Angelo” may be revealed including Senator Dodd’s relationship with the company.
  • Wikileaks may not even know at this moment what it is going to reveal. The only issue one can be sure of is that whatever the data it will be sensational.
  • However, will it be relevant? Bank of America has already paid fines related to the events surrounding its acquisition of Merrill Lynch and no further government action is contemplated.
  • The Countrywide underwriting policies and Bank of America’s collusion or non-collusion is now in the courts and there are multiple lawsuits still being prepared relative to this issue. These court battles still come down to a mortgage by mortgage review to determine if fraud was involved.
Thus, it is hard to conceive that the information will be new or that it is not been dealt with by the system already. Yet, the price of Bank of America’s stock continues to fall.

Bankruptcy
So, let’s surmise what would happen if Bank of America failed. First, all of the lawsuits against the company would go away. Second, the liabilities would be paid off from existing assets over a long period of time leaving the company’s net worth for shareholders.

This net worth is now $212 billion. Looking at the bank’s stated assets it has $150 billion in cash and $322 billion in securities that are mainly government guaranteed. Thus, the cash per share that would be available to shareholders on declaring bankruptcy would be approximately $15 per share. The stock currently sells at $11 per share.

Returning to the securities portfolio, there is $53 billion in Treasuries held outright and $200 billion in government backed agencies or agency backed securities. There is another net $32 billion in government backed securities in the trading portfolio.

While there is a great deal of argument as to the value of the bank’s assets it should be noted that at the moment the company’s free cash flow annualized is $40 billion. The fact that the company is in a cash throw-off position indicates that its assets are not being overstated and that in bankruptcy there would be no pressured sales of loans or securities.

Plus, the value of the company’s processing and other non-cash intensive businesses is close to zero. Yet if they were sold they would command prices in the billions. What this all means is that Bank of America’s book value is a valid number. It is worth at least $21 per share. In death, this company would be worth 91% more than it is worth in life.

Operating Basis
The fact is that Bank of America will not enter bankruptcy. Instead it will deal with the Countrywide lawsuits over an extended period of time. My estimate is that they will cost the company $20 billion over five years. The company’s estimate is that they will cost $3 to $13 billion. The courts will decide. Any statement from any executive may be part of the lawsuit but it still comes down to proving that this company did something fraudulently mortgage by mortgage.

Conclusion
This stock is considerably undervalued. It continues to be driven by sentiment and not hard numbers. When this changes, and it will change, the issue will rise rapidly in price.zerohedge.com
READ MORE - Following Wikileaks Revelations, The Tricky Dick Rushes To The Rescue, Sees Bank of America Worth $21 In Bankruptcy